By Carlos Mendoza | Breaking News
A developing weather system southwest of the Baja California Peninsula is being closely monitored, but as of Friday morning, there is no active tropical cyclone threatening Los Cabos.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center reported at 5:00 a.m. PDT Friday that a broad area of low pressure remains well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.
The system currently has a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression within the next 48 hours and an 80% chance within seven days.
For Cabo residents and visitors, however, the direction of travel is important.
The disturbance is expected to move westward at approximately 10 to 15 mph, taking it farther across the open Pacific rather than toward the Baja Peninsula.
Mexican meteorological authorities are also monitoring Pacific tropical activity as the region remains in the active portion of hurricane season.
What This Means for Los Cabos
An 80% development probability does not mean there is an 80% chance of a storm hitting Cabo. It means forecasters believe there is an 80% chance that the disturbance could organize into a tropical depression or storm during the next seven days.
At this time, the National Hurricane Center reports no active tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific.
September remains one of the months when residents, hotels, marinas and travelers in Los Cabos pay particularly close attention to Pacific tropical weather.
The Cabo Magazine will continue monitoring official forecasts and local emergency-management information as the system develops.
Last updated: September 18, 2026.
